🔭 Signals¶
Early-warning trends and behaviour shifts worth watching before they become a story — not confirmed news. Sorted by status, then analytic confidence (ICD-203 model: 🟩 High · 🟨 Moderate · 🟥 Low). Forum/sentiment evidence is anecdotal by nature — verify before treating any signal as an established trend.
Offensive-AI access bifurcation ⚡
Technology & AI
Strengthening 🟩
AI infrastructure concentration risk
Market & Customer
Strengthening 🟩
Vibe-coding vulnerability surge
Technology & AI
Strengthening 🟩
AI agent audit-trail integrity
Technology & AI
Watching 🟨
📊 Track record¶
3 early call(s) graduated to confirmed trends · average lead time ≈ 7 months ahead of the mainstream.
AI coding agents as attacker tradecraft — called 2025-11-15, confirmed mainstream 2026-09-02~10 months early
AI labor-cost backlash — called 2026-04-26, confirmed mainstream 2026-09-02~4 months early
Flock ALPR camera backlash — called 2026-02-27, confirmed mainstream 2026-09-02~6 months early
🗄️ Archive¶
Resolved signals — either graduated into a confirmed trend or faded out. Kept for lineage and rechecked periodically for resurgence.